Fairlane Raymundo
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ROAD TO 1 BILLION SPOTIFY STREAMS
🕑 Added 2024-09-29 03:29:00 +0000 UTCIf there is a mathematician out there, let me know if i erred on my calculation. Math is NOT my strongest suit.
UPDATE: JAN 25, 2025
UPDATE: JAN 11, 2025
UPDATE: DEC 28, 2024
UPDATE: DEC 14, 2024
UPDATE: NOV 30, 2024
UPDATE: NOV 16, 2024
UPDATE: NOV 9, 2024
I will update this post at least every two weeks.
UPDATE:
SAMPLE FORMULA USED TO CALCULATE EST DATE TO 1 BILLION SPOTIFY STREAMS. THIS ONE TAKES RM'S STREAMS.
Collected Data Points:
The total streams on specific dates were given as:
August 29, 2024: 246,738,928 streams
September 3, 2024: 246,712,235 streams
September 7, 2024: 247,527,737 streams
September 14, 2024: 248,978,246 streams
September 28, 2024: 251,399,043 streams
Calculated Daily Increases:
I calculated the difference in total streams between consecutive dates and divided by the number of days between those dates to find the daily increase rate:
From Aug 29 to Sep 3: (246,712,235 - 246,738,928) / 5 days = -5,339 streams/day (a slight decrease)
From Sep 3 to Sep 7: (247,527,737 - 246,712,235) / 4 days = 203,876 streams/day
From Sep 7 to Sep 14: (248,978,246 - 247,527,737) / 7 days = 207,073 streams/day
From Sep 14 to Sep 28: (251,399,043 - 248,978,246) / 14 days = 172,631 streams/day
Averaged the Daily Increase:
The average daily increase was calculated using these values:
Average daily increase=
−5339 + 203,876 + 207,073 + 172,6314
----------------------------------------------- ≈ 144,560 streams/day
4
Projected the Time to Reach 1 Billion:
The current total streams as of Sep 28 is 251,399,043. The remaining streams needed to reach 1 billion is: 1,000,000,000 − 251,399,043 = 748,600,957 streams
Using the average daily increase rate of approximately 144,560 streams/day, the estimated number of days to reach 1 billion is:
748,600,957
--------------- = 5,182 days
144,560
Predicted the Target Date:
Adding approximately 5,182 days (around 14.2 years) to the last recorded date (September 28, 2024), the projection lands on November 28, 2038.
This method uses linear extrapolation based on the average daily increase to estimate when the song will reach 1 billion streams.
The calculation does not anticipate any external boost that could happen such as the fandom concentrating on streaming a song or possible use of the song in some show or movie, etc.
Comments
Denise
Hello everyone, I'm new here, and new to this whole playlist thing, so I have some questions... for example, Butter (EP) and Butter (Proof album) count as the same music for the charts? What about the different versions of the song (original, Holiday Remix, Megan Thee Stallion Remix, etc.), they count as the same or are considered different tracks? Thanks!
Fairlane Raymundo
Hot 100 only count streams from US locations. your streams can still help in global spotify and Billboard 200 excluding US
madkpoplover
I'm new to streaming. I wanted to ask whether me streaming on Spotify from a different country that is not the US still count towards the hot100 chart? (asking for WHO by Jimin) or does hot100 only count streams from US locations?
